Mag 7 Gravity

If top stocks exert a gravitational pull on the broad market’s return, the Magnificent 7 have acted like the TON 618 black hole over the US the past few years.¹ Accounting for about one-third of the S&P 500 Index’s weight², the performance of these stocks has been a big driver of market-capitalization-weighted US large cap stock index returns.

This force can pull in a positive or negative direction. In 2024, the S&P 500 returned 25.0%. This was driven heavily by the Magnificent 7, which returned 48.3%. The other 493 stocks in the index collectively returned 15.9%. This year, the opposite effect has played out: The Magnificent 7 returned –12.3% through March 12, compared to –0.8% for the “S&P 493.”

The swings in performance for a US large cap index make a compelling case for global all cap diversification, which helps lessen exposure to the Magnificent 7. While non-US stocks underperformed the US in 2024, the MSCI All Country World ex USA IMI Index is outpacing the US thus far in 2025. Diversifying across regions and market capitalization is one way to mitigate the impact of a handful of stocks.

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Exhibit 1

Index Returns for 2024 vs. 2025, as of March 12, 2025

This article originally appeared in Above the Fray, a weekly newsletter for Dimensional clients. It was not created, written, or produced by TwoTen Planning.

Footnotes

1. 1. Francis Reddy, “NASA Animation Sizes Up the Universe’s Biggest Black Holes,” National Aeronautics and Space Administration, May 1, 2023.

1. 2. As of December 31, 2024.

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